real deep snow http://realdeepsnow.com tahoe/sierra skiing and mountain life: backcountry skiing, snow, powder, gear reviews, climbing, surf, and biking Mon, 01 Feb 2016 02:04:08 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3.1 en reload http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2041 http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2041#comments Mon, 01 Feb 2016 02:04:08 +0000 ccrossen http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2041 Another storm cycle for Tahoe…. after the deluge Thrs and Friday, we had great snow for Sat Sunday, with up to 14 inches in places. Not as much as we had hoped for, but a great continuation and refresh. Temps stay cold for the beginning of the week, so enjoy the winter snow while we have it. Looks like we have a chance of snow showers early this week as well. Then a 7-10 dry spell with temps rising. Might have a bit of a corn cycle coming up.

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what’s next http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2040 http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2040#comments Mon, 25 Jan 2016 21:44:48 +0000 ccrossen http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2040 our great run of skiing and conditions continued this past weekend, with 10-16 inches allotted Fri-Sunday. Great inbounds turns and backcountry above 7000′. Otherwise, we still had rain crust and not much snow below that level.

Models are continuing to show a potentially vigorous even for this Fri-Sun. Stay tuned as we could get hit hard if things align. 

Avy info: persistent weak layers are improving, but some areas of instability remain. Most recent snow from Saturday is moving in places as well.  

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head’s up http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2039 http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2039#comments Wed, 20 Jan 2016 20:52:21 +0000 ccrossen http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2039
more snow this past week…. and more avalanches and instability. we’ve had a great run of storms and powder, lots of great days and some of the best skiing we’ve had in the resort and backcountry in years. this said, we have some major instabilities in the snowpack, as seen with all of the avalanches occurring Jan 15-Jan 20. it’s fairly unprecedented out there, maybe the worst cycle we’ve seen since 2008. many people say the hype is a bit overblown, others saying don’t even think about going into the backcountry. this last week: a death, major and minor burials, and lots of things releasing without much effort. creating even more complexity, the snowpack stability varies greatly from one locale to the next, with some areas showing these weak layers, and others not, making confidence tricky. the instabilities are related to three primary surface hoar layers, approximately 12-18″ down, and at 24-30″ down and 42-48″ down. we have places releasing below treelike, in the trees, and on relatively low-angle slopes. the rain that has fallen during the past two days has not alleviated these weak layers, and has actually added to the stress. we have more snow on the way this weekend and the following week, so it could get even more hair trigger as the weight affects the snowpack. it will be interesting to see how these layers transform over the next week.<P>

currently  most slides have been confined to the topmost snowpack, though there have been stories of some step-down releases as well. what is most concerning, if we don’t see these buried frost/weak layers bond or go away, is the snowpack growing, with buried layers becoming more hair-trigger and dangerous

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hold on tight http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2038 http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2038#comments Thu, 14 Jan 2016 23:53:58 +0000 ccrossen http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2038 Great skiing right now in Tahoe. 10+” yesterday evening and last night and more staring up this afternoon into evening for another shot/refresh. A lot of wind affected snow out there, but really good skiing all-around. We have another system for Saturday… this one could be quite warm, with snow levels moving up to 7000′, and then another potentially much larger atmospheric river type event Sunday - Tuesday. And then more after that. enjoy

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES WITH SEVERAL SYSTEMS POSSIBLE FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS A STRONG PACIFIC JET STREAM PUSHES MOISTURE INTO THE WEST. THE MOST INTERESTING PERIOD RIGHT NOW IS THE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME FRAME WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER TO BRING A MULTI-DAY PRECIPITATION EVENT. HOWEVER, THERE IS ALSO SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE SHOWING THIS MOISTURE MAY COME INTO THE WEST IN MULTIPLE PIECES INSTEAD OF A CONSOLIDATED STREAM. THIS WOULD MEAN 2-3 WET PERIODS WITH ABOUT 6-12 HOUR BREAKS IN BETWEEN EACH PIECE. THE OTHER QUESTION REMAINS SNOW LEVELS, HOWEVER, CURRENTLY THEY LOOK TO BE AROUND 6000-7000 FEET FOR THE EVENT, WHICH WOULD MEAN HEAVY WET SNOW FOR THE SIERRA AND RAIN FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THIS WILL BE A WET PERIOD, BUT LOWER IN THE EXACT TRACK AND DETAILS AND THEREFORE EXACT PRECIPITATION TOTALS.

AT THIS TIME, FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR A DRY PERIOD THE UPCOMING WEEK BEING AROUND THE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY TIME FRAME. THIS IS FOLLOWED BY A POTENTIALLY COLDER WINTER SYSTEM FOR LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THE BIGGEST TAKE-A-WAY FOR THE WEEK AHEAD IS THAT TRAVEL IN THE SIERRA IS LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED THROUGHOUT THE WEEK BY HEAVY WET SNOW.

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light it up http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2036 http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2036#comments Thu, 07 Jan 2016 23:50:28 +0000 ccrossen http://realdeepsnow.com/?p=2036 img_6597.JPG

Tahoe is firing right now, just amazing run of snow  and great conditions. We received another 20″+ this week, and the skiing has been great. Backcountry is stabilizing, resorts were uncrowded and ripping. As good as it has been in many years here right now. We have smaller systems coming through over the next week, nothing large on tap, but look for refreshes every couple of days. Nothing big on the horizon until maybe Jan18/20 time-frame. Join the backcountry, bonding of recent storm layers has improved, but slabs still lurk, as do weaker snow interfaces from prior storms. Give a peek to see what’s going on under there - be aware. And enjoy….

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