real deep snow

Topics



Links



storm update

By ccrossen | December 4, 2014

The recent, very wet system is ending today, with light rain and snow showers throughout the day. Above 8,500′ the event was mostly snow, anywhere from 2-3 feet of cement, perfect base building consistency. It is skiing well and the instabilities we have seen the past few days are gradually strengthening. We clear out for the most part over the next week, though we may have some brush by systems this Friday and early next week. The storm we have been forecasting and watching via the models for the end of next week is looking good, as for now, it looks like a direct hit with much colder temps. We shall see, but if it transpires as the models are showing now, we will have an amazing snowpack above 7,000-7,500 feet and hopefully a start to a decent base below that. Models showing the storm beginning on Dec 11/12.

Topics: Tahoe Snow Report | No Comments

incoming …

By ccrossen | December 1, 2014

d13_fill.gif

Looks like the storm we’ve been watching for the past week is about to deliver, up high anyway… 2-3 feet up on the Crest, Tues-Wds eve, snow level 6500-7000, so rain in town… will hopefully set the top half up nicely with a good solid base. Get up high for some great skiing the rest of the week - should be good to go in most open spots. This is mostly a Tahoe event, though down south will get 12-18 above 8000. Thrs-Sunday we have clouds but precip runs north and south of us… And the beginning of next week looks dry so far…

Topics: Skiing, Tahoe Snow Report | No Comments

storm brewing

By ccrossen | November 24, 2014

Models are beginning to show a good size system hitting Tahoe beginning this coming Sat/Sun and last 2-3 days. Lots of variables and time until then, but initially, looking good. Just what we need to this late starting, though not unprecedented by any means, season. Stay tuned as the models will show more details and reveal better our chances during the next few days or so….

Topics: Skiing | No Comments

snow coming: quick look

By ccrossen | October 27, 2014

After some dustings this October, including a couple of inches+ up high this past weekend, it looks like we have a Halloween system brewing… models are still vacillating, but we have precip and cold temps in store. Snow levels should be around 4,500-5,000. Initial model runs were forecasting for 10+ inches - now that doesn’t look likely. Rain/snow Friday night and snow Sat. morning as the front passes through. More details as they emerge. Definitely the potential for some poking around Sat/Sun. From NWS Reno discussion:


THEN FOR FRIDAY, THE GFS/EC AND THEIR ENSEMBLES ALL SHOW A FAIRLY STRONG TROUGH FOR LATE OCTOBER AND ARE ALSO SIMILAR IN THE DETAILS. THEY DO SHOW A LITTLE BIT MORE OF A SPLIT AND SOUTHERN TRACK THAN PREVIOUS RUNS AS WELL AS BEING A LITTLE FASTER. IT APPEARS THE BRUNT OF THE STORM WILL ARRIVE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FRIDAY MAKING IT A POTENTIALLY WET, WINDY AND SNOWY HALLOWEEN FOR ANY GOBLINS OUT AND ABOUT.


WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT, BUT DO NOT LOOK AS STRONG AS PREVIOUS RUNS OR THE PAST COUPLE OF EVENTS WITH GUSTS PERHAPS TO 45 MPH. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TAP, BUT IT WILL HAVE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO WORK WITH AS FORCING IS STRONG ALONG THE FRONT. IT STILL APPEARS THAT A FOOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA WITH SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW DOWN TO 5000 POSSIBLE. SNOW LEVELS LOOK TO START AROUND 7000-7500 FEET AS ALMOST ALL THE PRECIP NOW APPEARS TO BE ALONG OR JUST BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE COLDER AIR. THEY THEN LOOK TO FALL TO 4500 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. AS FOR SPILLOVER INTO WESTERN NEVADA, THE NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT ISN`T THE MOST FAVORABLE, BUT A BRIEF PERIOD IS LIKELY.


FOR THE WEEKEND, SATURDAY WILL BE COOL WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE POST-FRONTAL UNSTABLE AIR AS THE TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH. SHOWERS WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH IN THE EVENING WITH SKIES CLEARING. IF SKIES CLEAR, SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON THUS FAR WITH 20S IN MANY WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AND TEENS IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS. SUNDAY WILL BE DRY AS RIDGING BUILDS IN, BUT ANY WARM-UP WILL BE SLOW UNDER NORTH FLOW ALOFT. WALLMANN

Topics: Introduction | No Comments

thunder and el nino

By ccrossen | July 23, 2014

Some excellent reading over at The California Weather Blog, Weather West as we dry out from the last couple weeks of unusual rain and thunderstorms that have hit the Sierra.


The primary reason for all of this active weather throughout the West in recent days is the seasonal reversal of large-scale wind patterns associated with the North American Monsoon. This reversal occurs every summer, and is typically associated with occasional convective activity (often in the form of thunderstorms) over mountain and interior regions of the Southwest. Occasionally, this pattern can expand northward and westward to include California in the region of deep southeasterly flow around the characteristic mid-atmospheric high pressure area centered near the Four Corners region. Due to the stabilizing influence of the cool Pacific Ocean near the coast of California, convective activity associated with the monsoon is typically confined to mountain and desert regions, and thus tends to stay away from California’s major population centers. This gives rise to the perception that it never rains in California during the summer months (which is, indeed, a rather accurate characterization if one lives in the coastal metro regions or in the Central Valley).



As for El Nino, we are still on track for some type of event, with NOAA reporting they expect an 80% chance of one occurring this coming winter. However, with relatively modest El Nino’s, the affect really is uncertain, as only the truly most powerful ones create huge winter/precip for the Sierra.


From the California Weather Blog, Weather West, “The quick summary version: connections between California precipitation and El Niño are rather tenuous, except for very strong El Nino events, which are associated with increased cool-season precipitation. This is especially true for inland regions of Northern California, where the majority of California’s reservoirs and “snowpack stored water” capacity resides. While there were some early indications during spring 2013 that the upcoming likely El Niño event could be a very strong event, a top-tier event now appears less likely.”


More great reading this season’s El Nino and drought:
http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/1594

Topics: Introduction | No Comments

Previous Entries Next Entries
  • andromeda season 2 download
  • as renunta mp3 download
  • canon photostitch download mac lion
  • arma 2 scud mod download
  • akachan to boku ost download
  • apostila vestcon portugues download
  • balwinder singh rangila shabad download
  • carmen sandiego download portugues para windows 7
  • bindiya chamkegi download mp3
  • 4shared download bruno mars locked out of heaven
  • blackmagic disk speed test 1.0 download
  • brazilian portuguese dictionary download
  • call of juarez completo download
  • chrome os rc iso download
  • canon mp190 software download 64 bit
  • cluedo download ita pc
  • aulas policia federal download
  • aplikacije za nokiu download
  • carrera grand prix 2 download
  • bruce almighty download legendado rmvb
  • chronos cross download ps1
  • aqwacker pro v1 8 free download
  • caso 39 download dvdrip avi
  • civilization v map editor free download
  • besplatan download u zemlji krvi i meda
  • chimarruts sA? pra brilhar download cd
  • a maga keti mp3 download
  • a1200 motorola pc suite download free
  • alexander rybak mp3 download kostenlos
  • cartoni animati 3d download
  • borixon rap not dead download chomikuj
  • cisco wrvs4400n download firmware
  • cloak of the illuminati download
  • cadillac font download software
  • bloodhound gang disco pogo download
  • cd heitor villa lobos download
  • a onda download uploaded
  • app server download for windows 7
  • automatically download candling chrome
  • biological science volume 1 download
  • 1und1 app android download
  • alberto del rio download mp3
  • a viagem 1994 download
  • b.r.o wiem wiem wiem download
  • can we talk mp3 download
  • amer zayan download songs
  • 10 finger schreibtrainer 2.01 gratis download
  • bin tere reprise instrumental download
  • ambasamudram ambani mp3 download
  • brincar de ser feliz download
  • cabelo de lele download
  • 70 640 ebook olas download
  • big sean mula download mp3 skull
  • black swan download taleb
  • chicha ki hotel movie download
  • ballet body by jazzercise download
  • andrea & costi ?????????????N??? download
  • bratz forever diamondz song download
  • banze no oeste download legendado
  • bronze dictator download
  • annamacharya keerthanalu free download by nitya santoshi
  • anything u want future download
  • appalaraju songs free download in doregama
  • call of juarez 2 download full
  • asus m4a78lt m le motherboard drivers download
  • adaptador de rede broadcom download
  • carrera streckenplaner download kostenlos mac
  • aval appadithan songs download free
  • 4real avril lavigne free download
  • chris brown invented head download link
  • apc usv software download
  • canon pixma mp830 download software
  • andala rakshasi movie download free
  • burlesque download gratis ita
  • battle of britain commando download
  • big smo song download
  • acrobat x pro download keygen
  • animal prints vector download
  • cara lain download video
  • anatomy of domestic animals download
  • canon powershot browser download
  • canon mp510 treiber download mac
  • applicazioni download per android
  • 30 day clutter bootcamp download
  • bolton vs manchester united download
  • aston martin music remix download
  • age de glace 4 download french
  • cartella download mac dock
  • armin van buuren serenity download mp3
  • bob sinclar groupie download
  • amertype md bt bold download
  • antes de dizer sim download crankshafts
  • alana hyland hey hey download free
  • bu son olsun free download
  • berner point of view download
  • allods online game download
  • biggie warning download for mp3
  • berner chris brown download
  • akb48 kaze wa fuiteiru download mp3
  • activar modo download galaxy spica
  • alcatel ot u990 games free download
  • black ryno music download
  • asala nasri mp3 songs download
  • asus p5pe vm ethernet drivers download
  • avira ivdf fusebundle free download
  • a r rahman bgm download
  • baby carrot game download
  • american pie ksiAga miAoAci download pl
  • badi assad mp3 download
  • alsu zima download mp3 radio edit
  • clutch big news ii download
  • blue cross manitoba forms download
  • 2 mb image file download
  • chum loon honth tere download
  • bios a luiza salazar download
  • canon mx870 treiber download
  • automatic loveletter heart song download mp3
  • almanaque do cinema omelete download
  • bleach ost treachery free download
  • club van sinterklaas liedjes download
  • carry on jatta free download
  • bhaja govindam download ms subbulakshmi
  • cheating engine 5.5 download
  • anthrax poison my eyes download
  • acer aspire 9100 treiber download
  • amargo es el adios download
  • bedtime stories madonna album download
  • cd dj alpiste 2012 download
  • account ledger software download
  • andromeda season 3 download
  • adore u lil rain download
  • canon pixma mp190 installation download
  • circle the drain download mp3 skull
  • 007 facebook hack v 4.0 download
  • afroman wonderful tonight download mp3
  • babal rai sohni mp3 download free
  • bleach episode 356 free download
  • billie jean kanye west download
  • bleach cap 447 download ita
  • bleach ost 1 album download
  • amarok mp3 player linux download
  • blue scholars oof ep download free
  • alawar pc games download
  • all tv chanal download
  • clannad download all episodes
  • 4084 video song download
  • boom boom tah mp3 download
  • bridget jones ost download
  • club dj 5 download
  • bottoms up dirty download trey songz
  • billie jean download mp3
  • cartao de visitas free download
  • ar rahman hits mp3 zip download
  • canon mx340 manual download
  • candan ercetin album download
  • ammo hack download black ops
  • aint no way glee download
  • carmen sandiego novo download portugues
  • anari songs download mp3
  • 8008 itunes download error
  • arirang karaoke vol 36 download
  • asus p5gc mx user manual download